Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Nifty IT Neo Wave Analysis : Cracked 800 Points,Levels Bang On !!!!!!!

Dear All,
                           On Jan 5 posted that we might have finished Wave 5 in Nifty IT , kindly read http://abhaymehrotra.blogspot.in/2017/01/nifty-it-neo-wave-analysis-wave-5.html


                                                            Below is the chart we posted on that day


What Happened After Our Update 

Nifty IT Cracked 800 Points 


Imp: This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 


Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 



Quotes from Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader By Peter Brandt !!!!!

Dear All,
                                                                  Must Read for All Trader's 

p14. “Consistently successful trading is founded on solid risk management.”

p14. “Successful trading is a process of doing certain things over and over again with discipline and patience.”

p31. “As many as 80% of my trades over shorter periods of time will be unprofitable. The probability of my very next trade being profitable is less than 30%.” (Looking for 90% accuracy see how one of the best trader of the world trade with only 40%--30% Accuracy )

p34. “More often than not, a market will defy what its chart structure implies” [but Peter remains a dedicated, profitable and long term chartist].

p38. “Boundary lines [i.e. trend lines] do not need to be redrawn to accommodate [intraday single-event] out of line movement.”

p41. “My experience is that there are far more false or premature breakouts of slanted chart lines than in the case of horizontal boundaries.” p129. “Normally I do not trade trend-line violations. Trend lines fall into a category of chart development I called diagonal patterns. Yet, the more a market tests a trend line, the more valid-and tradeable-an eventual violation becomes.”

p41. “[After a pattern break out] I generally abandon any position that has a significant return to the pattern.”

p43. “I believe that my net bottom line as a trader would have improved if I had exited every trade that closed at a daily loss.”

 p142. “My net bottom line over the years would have improved if I had exited all trades that closed against me.”

p47. “As a general rule, the minimum move following the completion of a chart pattern should be equal to the height of the pattern itself, although the exceptions to this rule are numerous and complex.”

p53. “As a general rule, I will attempt one pattern recompletion per major pattern. After that, I will count my losses and go shopping elsewhere.”

p60. “Trades that are the emotionally toughest to execute are often the most financially rewarding.” 

p128. “Trades that are emotionally easy to execute are often trades consistent with the conventional wisdom of the marketplace. Conventional wisdom is usually wrong.”

p74. “While chartists often attempt to jump the gun on a pattern, markets usually make it abundantly clear when it is time to climb aboard.”

p80. “It is important for a trader to use similar time frames to both enter and manage a trade.”

p88. “The more I follow the markets during the trading hours, the more apt I am to make an
emotionally driven decision to override my trading plan...emotional reactions to intraday trading will be detrimental to my net bottom line over any period of time.”

p102. “The biggest temptation after a premature stop-out is to get right back in before receiving another solid signal. Getting into this cycle throws discipline and patience right out of the window.”

p117. “I cannot allow myself to be stressed out whether a certain trade was profitable or not. Profit cannot be the direct focus of my attention because I have no control over the outcome of any given trade. Order entry is the only thing I can control. My challenge is to maintain the patience to wait for t my pitch and the discipline to swing when my pitch is offered. Swinging at pitches outside of my sweet spot is the single biggest source of trouble for me.”


January 2012
p117. “I am constantly studying and analyzing my trading performance for two major reasons: to determine if my trading plan is in sync with the markets and to determine if I am in sync with my trading plan. ...either can represent a real problem.” (Most trader's dont even have written trading plan ..........i ask you one question do you have written trading plan ??? I guess you dont have !!!!!)

p119. “Every successful trader I know has developed a criteria for appraising trading performance.”

p152. “Breakouts should be decisive in order to be valid. Drawing tight pattern boundary lines is an invitation to get sucked into a false or premature breakout.”

p154. “As a trader, I need to constantly remind myself that I cannot afford the luxury of being bullish or bearish. Bullishness and Bearishness represent an emotional commitment. I need to limit myself to positions. Opinions don't matter.”

p156. “Trade identification is the least important of all trading components. The trading process itself and risk management are much more crucial components to overall success in trading operations.”

p157. “The most profitable trades are those that breakout and never look back.” p165. “If at first you don’t succeed, be ready to lose and lose again.”

p160. “Trading dilemmas never end. A trader never solves all the issues standing in the way of greater success.”

p166. “The best and largest patterns are commonly comprised of many smaller patterns, mostly failures.”

p173. “The battle to profitability is with one’s self. Successful trading is learning what to do and how to do it and then overcoming one’s emotions to get “it” done (discovering the “it” is the challenge for traders, and the “it” is different for everyone).”

p189. “[Trading plan] flaws are never visible during the good months and good years. Good times provide cover for the deficiencies of a trading plan.”

p194. “Triangles are not valid when prices work too far [more than 2/3rds to 3/4ths] to the apex.”

p197. “The single most important price of the day is the closing price, posted mid-afternoon each day. This is the price at which position traders, as opposed to day traders, are willing to hold a position overnight. Even though I often enter and exit a position intraday, the closing price is the only one that really matters. Everything else is noise.

p229. “Make a chart prove itself. Do not lead a breakout.”

p230. “Do not chase a missed signal. There will be trading opportunities next week, next month, and next year. Chasing signals can lead to other serious breaches of trading practices.”


Thanks & Regards
Abhay Mehrotra

Monday, January 30, 2017

Gold Neo Wave Analysis : Set For Wave C ??? , Supports @ Lower Levels !!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                                                                     We might start Wave C in Gold


Imp : This Update is Stritcly for Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 

Silver Neo Wave Analysis : Supports @ Lower Levels , Wave C can Start Soon ???

Dear All,
                                                            We might start Wave C in Silver soon




Imp : This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 

Saturday, January 28, 2017

Nickel Neo Wave Analysis : Cracked 19% , Levels Bang On !!!!!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                       On 6 Dec we posted that We might start Wave B in Nickel , Kindly read http://abhaymehrotra.blogspot.in/2016/12/nickel-neo-wave-analysis-wave-b-started.html


                                                             Below is the chart we posted On that day



What Happened After that 

Nickel Cracked from 790 to 636 levels 


Imp: This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 


Friday, January 27, 2017

Nifty Neo Wave Analysis : Resistance @ Higher Levels ????

Dear All,
                                 We might complete Wave 5 & can find Resistance @ Higher Levels



Imp: This Update is Strictly for Educational Purpose 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

Bank Nifty Neo Wave Analysis : Wave 5 Going On , Can Extends ????

Dear All,
                                                    Bank Nifty Might be in Wave 5 and can extends



Imp : This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 

Nifty Neo Wave Analysis : Zoomed Up 200 Points , Levels Bang On !!!!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                                On Jan 12 posted that we might be in Wave 3 or Wave C and subdividing , kindly
read http://abhaymehrotra.blogspot.in/2017/01/nifty-neo-wave-analysis-wave-3-or-wave.html


                                                            Below is the chart We posted On that Day


What Happened After Update 

Nifty Zoomed up 200 Points 



Imp : This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 




Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Reasons Why Most People Fail In Trading !!!!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                     More than 95% of  People who trade loose money .........let see why this happens

1.    Lack of Experience
Trading - like any new initiative - has a learning curve. However, unlike learning a new skill such as learning to play guitar for instance, you are not risking your entire savings while discovering the difference between a major and minor chord. Learning about the markets  basic trading principles solely on a trial and error basis is not a recommended approach for gaining the skills necessary to be a successful trader.

2.    Unreasonable Expectations
First off, stop believing all the “get-rich quick” hype still perpetrated by some trading gurus. Yes, there are those that do get rich trading but some people also get rich selling houses. In either case, it does not happen overnight and it might take years to gain the experience and insight to turn  trading into a full-time, successful occupation.


3.    Absence of a Sound Trading Plan
Next to having unreasonable expectations with regards to the risks associated with  trading and the amount of time required to be successful, a common mistake made by new traders is the lack of a trading plan. In reality, there are two aspects to this plan; an overall objective for your trading activities and a plan for each trade you make.
Your overall objective should include the currencies that you intend to deal in, the amount of leverage  you will use, and the amount of time you intend to devote to your trading activities. Your plan must also include a realistic rate of return you expect to achieve. In addition to your overall objectives plan, you also need an exit strategy plan for each trade you make that includes the upper and lower boundaries of the trade.
In other words, you must identify the level at which you will close positions and take your profits (take-profit order) or in the case of a losing trade, the level at which you are prepared to go before you get out of the trade thus limiting your losses (limit order).


4.    Lack of Discipline
A plan is only of value if you actually have the patience and the discipline to follow it. While this can be difficult, it is necessary if you expect to be successful, and it is this very reason why developing a plan prior to the trade is so fundamental. As rates fluctuate, you can easily get caught up in the market and it is only human nature that you will begin to second-guess your actions. If, for instance, the rate moves up surpassing your original take profit point, you may be tempted to hold out for an even higher return; alternatively, if the price drops below your limit level but you believe there is a big rebound just around the corner, you may be tempted to keep the order open on the hopes of a reversal.
But does either scenario really make sense? If before you entered the trade you had a sound reason for establishing both your take profit and your loss limit levels, how likely is it that conditions have changed so much that now you are prepared to throw your previous assessments out the window in the heat of the battle? Can you be sure that you are not acting on emotion rather than sound analysis?
This is why a plan is so important – it allows you to avoid the emotion that is bound to arise during time of volatility.
Now this is not to say that a trading plan can never be revised – in fact, your overall objectives should be re-examined every few months or even more frequently if required. As well, it may be necessary sometimes to abandon a plan mid-trade if market conditions warrant but this should be the exception and not the norm.
And yes, sometimes the market can be so volatile that no amount of planning will produce positive results. In this case, maybe the best option is simply not to trade until you can get a better handle on things. Never allow yourself to fall into the “I have to do something” trap – sometimes the best plan is to do nothing.


5.    Failure to Include Stop-Loss and Take Profit Instructions
When you place a market order andl eave it open  that is, enter a trade at the market price without instructions to close the order – you are in effect, gambling with the total value of your account. For this reason, you should consider adding stop-loss instructions to all open positions.
For instance, if you are holding a long Nifty  position, you can include a stop-loss instruction that automatically sells your long position if the rate falls to a certain level. In this way, you can limit the amount that you could lose on any given trade – even if you are unable to constantly monitor your account.
Take-profit orders are similar in that they allow you to establish the rate at which you want open positions closed in order to lock-in profits. Again, you simply need to identify the rate at which to take the profits, and the trading system closes the position without further intervention on your part.


6.    Excessive Leverage
Depending on your experience level, trade leverage can be a powerful tool to help you maximize returns, or it can be the cause of your downfall. It is not something to be taken lightly and if you do not understand how it works, don’t trade until you do understand.


7.    Holding Too Many Open Trades
Fighter pilots call it “helmet fire” and it happens when too much is happening around you too quickly for you to react. In the cockpit of a jet fighter, it can get you killed – as a  trader, you may not end up dead but you will probably end up broke.


8.    Holding Losing Positions Too Long
One of the things that really separates seasoned trader from professional , those just starting out is their ability to determine when a losing trade is not going to reverse the trend. Rather than “hold and hope”, disciplined traders will take the loss and get out much more quickly.
This is another reason to set protective stops on all your trades; if you include effective stops when you submit a new trade, you can at least limit your losses without having to spend too much time “babysitting” the order. If the trade hits the stop, you will lose the amount committed but you also protect the bulk of your capital, leaving you with funds to move into something else that, hopefully, will be more profitable.
Sometimes, you just have to treat these things as life lessons – learn and move on.


  9.    Greed

This one is pretty straight-forward – greed; or more correctly, how greed can cause you to enter into ridiculous trades. This must be the same gene that causes some people to keep “doubling-down” even when the odds are so against them that it make no sense at all. If you want to gamble, go to Vegas.


Thanks & Regards
Abhay Mehrotra

Lead Neo Wave Analysis : Zoomed Up 21% , Levels Bang On !!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                        On 27 Dec , Posted update that lead might start Wave 5 or Wave B , Kindly read http://abhaymehrotra.blogspot.in/2016/12/lead-neo-wave-analysis-wave-5-or-b.html

                                                              Below is the chart we posted on that day


What Hppened After Update 

Lead Taken Support Exactly as per levels 


Zoomed Up from132 to 160 Levels 



Imp : This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 


Sunday, January 22, 2017

"Best Looser is Long Term Winner "---- Phantom of Pits

Dear All,
                       While reading the book Phatom of Pits " , I Came Across this phrase "Best looser is long Term Winner " . This is so close to reality of Professional Trading .

I read hundered of articles on trading, every body is focus how to win in markets , how to make profit etc.. nobody ever concern about loosing ......amature trader looks for methods and tips that can give then 100% Trade win ratio . Some people boast of 100% trade win ratio with no loss gurantee .

Just ask your self ,can you find a Single human being who have never done any thing wrong in his life .

Great people achieve success because they learn fast from there mistakes , take feedback from it and not to repeat the same mistake again .

Thomas edison failed 10000 times in making a light bulb ......should you call him a looser ???


To make mistake is being human , humans tends to learn and progress from mistake , its not that
that Successful people never did mistakes in their life .


Trading is same as life , professional trader's make mistake , they learn , they adapt and they love being wrong or should I Say being looser .

In Trading people hate to loose , but in reality Trading is a Business of Managing losses Effectively


Trading is all about defining your risk and play the game according to it . Being  a best looser will make you stand till the end and enhance your chance of winning the game in long term.


Please remember learn to loose Effectively  first .





Thanks & Regards


Abhay Mehrotra

Tuesday, January 17, 2017

Why Trader's Loose Money !!!!!!!

Dear All,

Almost 95% of traders loose money in Market.

Reason are plenty ..........but we discuss few of them

If have answers to following question then only you making succesfully in trading else you are loosing money .


1.Why Trading ......... Have you ever asked yourself why you want to trade ??

2. Your Style of Trading .... Positional / Swing / Intra day ??

3.What's your Edge in Trading ???

4.How much time you devote In studying Markets ??

5.Have you define which markets will you trade ???

6.On what basis you decide to enter into a trade ???

7.Exit criteria ??

8. Money Management rules ??

9. Position sizing ???

10. Are you having a Written Trading Plan ??

Trading is Business nothing else .............if your expenses are high (losses) then you will not earn profit in a business ......same apply to Trading also

Most people thing that only way of making money in trading is to have 10 out 10 or 10 out of 8 trades to be successful ............it is absolutely wrong

let me give you example ..

let say i put 10 trades with 40% accuracy

Winning trades 4 with an average profit of 6 rupees per trade ---4*6=24

Loosing trades 6 with average loss of 1 ruppes each 6*1=6

Profit in 4 trades =24

loss in 6 trades = 6

Net Profit =18 rupees


so see even if your accuracy rate is only 40% you still make good money ......so if any body claiming 90% and 99% accuracy he is fooling you this is blunt truth that most people dont understand

If you follow this mantra only you will make money " cut your loss fast and let your profit run"

very easy to say but very difficult to follow .

Most Advisory people claim 90%---99% accuracy ...........use your common sense if any body has this kind of winning ratio he will become multi millionare in very short time and why he will sell his advice .

"Trading is all about Probablities never certainity "

People sell magic software , claims giving operators tips ............and catch greed of innocent traders

"Consistent money always comes from hard work "


Hope you find this post useful !!!!!

Thanks & Regards
Abhay Mehrotra

Friday, January 13, 2017

Nickel Neo Wave Analysis : Cracked 16% , Levels Bang On !!!!!!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                                On 6 Dec posted that we might start Wave B , kindly read http://abhaymehrotra.blogspot.in/2016/12/nickel-neo-wave-analysis-wave-b-started.html

                                                              Below is the chart we posted on that day



What Happened After Our Update 

Nickel Cracked from 790 to 661.10 Levels 


Imp : This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks &  Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 


Thursday, January 12, 2017

Nifty Neo Wave Analysis : Wave 3 Or Wave C Subdividing , Resistance @ Higher Levels !!!!

Dear All,
                                                          We might be subdividing for Wave 3 or C


Imp : This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 

Tuesday, January 10, 2017

Crude Oil Neo Wave Analysis : Wave C Completed ???

Dear All,
                                                     We might have completed Wave C in Crude Oil



Imp : This Update is Strictly for Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 

Natural Gas Neo Wave Analysis : Cracked 17% , Levels Bang On !!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                          On 30 Dec Posted , that natural gas might have completed wave 5, kindly read ,http://abhaymehrotra.blogspot.in/2016/12/natural-neo-wave-analysis-wave-5.html
         
                                                                Below is the chart posted on that day




What Happened After Our Update 

Natural gas Cracked from 256 to 212 levels



Imp: This Update is Strictly for Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 






Sunday, January 8, 2017

GBP - INR Neo Wave Analysis : Wave C Subdividing , Resistance @ Higher Levels ????

Dear All,
                                                        Gbp-Inr might be Subdividing for Wave C


Wave C subdividing 


Imp : This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 


Saturday, January 7, 2017

The Art Of Trading Without Trading !!!!!!!!!!!!

Dear All,


                                   I start with Quote from One of the Best Trader of All time Jesse Live more

" After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and lossing millions of dollors I want to tell you this : It never my thinking that made big money for me . It always my sitting . Got that ? My sitting tight ! It no trick at all to be right on markt " .............Jeese livemore

Here Jesse reffreing to sitting tight for trade that is according to your trade plan . You need to wait , wait and wait till right setup comes in market as per you trade plan .


   The Biggest Edge the retail trader has , is not to trade .........surprised , let me explain , most of strong                        hands like Fii , Dii need to be have positions in market every time ......regardless of market conditions .
           
    We as retail traders has got this "Big Advantage" Not to trade when our trading plan don't permit us You can't control market prices , only thing that you can control is to put your money on trades when and only when your trading plan gives you desired conditions to go for trade ,like risk reward ratio to do so .


But we are not aware of this advantage or should i say never think of it .......just give a thought , in whole trading  process what is under your control ......"your entry price "  is the only thing that you can control .........if you use limit price order ........in market price order even that is also not sure at which price you get filled for trade , then why you jump on trades without giving a thought that if you are not getting desired entry price and you have not put a trade is your advantage .....by not trading you are using it as your advantage.

The problem with most of traders is that they want profit on every trade , want to trade every swing of market  and ultimately take losses in market .

Intra day Trader - Only concentrate on 2-3 trades max in a day , if you cant find a single trade as per your trading plan ......dnt worry you just have use your biggest advantage in your favour

Swing Trader -Only concentrate on 2-3 trades max in a Week , if you cant find a single trade as per your trading plan ......dnt worry you just have use your biggest advantage in your favour

Positonal Trader - Only concentrate on 2-3 trades max in a Month , if you cant find a single trade as per your trading plan ......dnt worry you just have use your biggest advantage in your favour

Dnt Trade Market , Trade according to your Trading Plan.


Next time you want to take a trade think 100 times why your taking that trade .........as you will be using the only and the only biggest advantage you have as a trader by simply not trading   .


Hope you have find this article useful

M : 9873511276

Thanks & Regards



Abhay Mehrotra

Thursday, January 5, 2017

Nifty IT Neo Wave Analysis : Wave 5 Completed ???

Dear All,
                                      We might have completed or Very Close to Completing Wave 5


Imp : This Update is Strictly  For Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra 




Wednesday, January 4, 2017

Natural Gas Neo Wave Analysis : Cracked 12% , Levels Bang On !!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                         On 30 Dec , posted that , we might start ABC Correction , kindly read http://abhaymehrotra.blogspot.in/2016/12/natural-neo-wave-analysis-wave-5.html

                                 
                                                            Below is the the chart we posted on that day


What Happened after Our Update 

Natural Gas Cracked from 256 to 224 



Imp : This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose Only 

M : 9873511276 

Thanks & Regards 

Abhay Mehrotra