Thursday, July 30, 2015

Lessons from Paul Tudor Jones !!!!!!!!!

Dear All,

                                                   Great Insight On Trading from a Master Trader

1.  Never play macho man with the market.

2. Never over-trade relative to the equity in your   account

3.his first mentor has “steel hard emotional control”

4.always liquidate half his position below new highs or low

5.after having 60-70% draw-down, he was so depressed he nearly quit. “Mr. Stupid, why risk everything on one trade? Why not make your life a pursuit of happiness rather than pain?”

6.he then first decided to learn discipline and money management. Become disciplined and business-like about trading


7.”Now I spend my day trying to make myself as happy and relaxed as I can be. If I have positions going against me, I get right out; if they are going for me, I keep them”

8.Be quicker and more defensive. Always think about losing money as opposed to making money. He always has a mental stop. If it hits that number, he is out no matter what.

9.”Risk control is the most important thing in trading” Stop out at near 10% monthly draw-down. He never wants to lose 10% in a month

10.Try to picking turning points. Keep trying, but cut position size down if trading poorly (after successive losing trades)

11.Don’t ever average losers. Decrease your trading volume when you are trading poorly; increase your volume when you are trading well. Never trade in situations where you don’t have control. For example, I don’t risk significant amounts of money in front of key reports, since that is gambling, not trading.

12.If you have losing position that is making you uncomfortable, the solution is very simple: Get out, because you can always get back in. There is nothing better than a fresh start

13.The most important rule of trading is to play great defense, not great offense. Every day he has stop risk points for his positions, so he define his maximum drawdown. He spends the rest of the day enjoying positions that are going in his direction. If they go against him, he has a gameplan to get out
Don’t be a hero. Don’t have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead

14.He wants to invest in things that allows him to get liquid “very quickly”

15. His investment philosophy is “I don’t take a lot of risk, I look for opportunities with tremendously skewed reward-risk”

16.Don’t ever let them get into your pocket – that means there’s no reason to leverage substantially.

There’s no reason to take substantial amounts of financial risk ever because you should always be able to find something where you can skew the reward risk relationship so greatly in your favor that you can take a variety of small investments with great reward risk opportunities that should give you minimum draw down pain and maximum upside opportunities

17. You’ve got to look at good traders historically. If a trader can on average annually deliver two to three times their worst draw down, then that’s a very good track record, and I’d say that that’s what I try to do. If I thought that for the funds that I managed that 10% would be the worst that I would tolerate in a given year then hopefully I’d annualize two or three times that and that’s probably what I’ve done. Maybe a little below that in the ’90′s and a little above that in the ’80′s.

18.The secret to being successful from a trading perspective is to have an indefatigable and an undying and unquenchable thirst for information and knowledge. Because I think there are certain situations where you can absolutely understand what motivates every buyer and seller and have a pretty good picture of what’s going to happen. And it just requires an enormous amount of grunt work and dedication to finding all possible bits of information.

19.the most important thing is how good are you at risk control. Ninety-percent of any great trader is going to be the risk control.

20. Take-aways: Discipline and risk management is 99% of trading. Don’t ever take substantial leverage or risk. Don’t be a hero. Wait for the fat pitches, don’t gamble, work hard, and have an unquenchable thirst for information/knowledge. Spend your day trying to make yourself happy and relaxed – get rid of losing positions and ride the winners.


Thanks & Regards
Abhay Mehrotra

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

"Best Looser is Long Term Winner "---- Phantom of Pits

Dear All,
                       While reading the book Phatom of Pits " , I Came Across this phrase "Best looser is long Term Winner " . This is so close to reality of Professional Trading .

I read hundered of articles on trading, every body is focus how to win in markets , how to make profit etc.. nobody ever concern about loosing ......ametuer trader looks for methods and tips that can give then 100% Trade win ratio . Some people boast of 100% trade win ratio with no loss gurantee .

Just ask your self ,can you find a Single human being who have never done any thing wrong in his life .

Great people achieve success because they learn fast from there mistakes , take feedback from it and not to repeat the same mistake again .

Thomas edison failed 10000 times in making a light bulb ......should you call him a looser ???


To make mistake is being human , humans tends to learn and progress from mistake , its not that
that Successful people never did mistakes in their life .


Trading is same as life , professional trader's make mistake , they learn , they adapt and they love being wrong or should i Say being looser .

In Trading people hate to loose , but in reality Trading is a Business of Managing losses Effectively


Trading is all about defining your risk and play the game according to it . Being  a best looser will make you stand till the end and enhance your chance of winning the game in long term.


Please remember learn to loose Effectively  first .



Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra

Tata Motors Neo Wave Analysis : Sl Hit as Wave 3 Extends !!!!!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                                                    On 18 July given Update that we expect wave 4 or Wave B

                            http://www.abhaymehrotra.com/2015/07/tata-motors-neo-wave-analysis-wave-b.html

                                                            Below is the chart we posted on that day

         

What happen after our update 

Market didnt responded to our Analysis 

and gone down as Wave 3 extends 



Imp : This update is Strictly for Educational Purpose 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 

Monday, July 27, 2015

Bank Nifty Neo Wave Analysis : Time & Price Bang on !!!! Collapsed 1000 Points From Gann Time & Elliot Price Zone

Dear All,
                                           

                                        On 21 July told you , We are entering Time & Price Zone , kindly read                                                         http://www.abhaymehrotra.com/2015/07/bank-nifty-neo-wave-analysis-time-price.html


                                                            Below is the chart we posted on that day



Min Condition For Time & Price Meet Told you in last Update 


What Happened After Our Update 

Bank Nifty from high of 19229  Hit  18188 

Collapse 1000 Points 


Are You Trading With Time & Price Advantage 

Only Using Price For Trading ??

Get "Time Analysis Advantage" 


When Time & Price Combines Changes Happens .........W.D. Gann 

Imp : This update is Strictly For Educational Purpose Only 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 




Nifty Neo Wave Analysis : Time & Price Bang On , Reversed Exaclty On 23 July Gann Time Date Zone & From Elliot Price levels , Collapse 300 Points From Gann Time Zone

Dear All,
                                                    Told you on 17 July we are entering Time & Price Zone , Kindly Read                                                               http://www.abhaymehrotra.com/2015/07/nifty-time-price-analysis.html

                                             
                                                              Below is the chart we posted on that day




What Happened After It ,Nifty Made High on 23 July On Gann Time Zone 

Hit 8654 , Very Close To Elliot Price Levels 

and From 8654 to 8352 Now 

Collapsed 300 Points 





Are You Trading With Time & Price Advantage ??

Only Using Price for Trading ??

Get "Time Analysis Advantage "

When Time & Price Combine Change Happens ............W.D. Gann 


Imp : This update is Strictly for Educational Purpose 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 


Friday, July 24, 2015

Bank Nifty Neo Wave Analysis : Time & Price Bang On !!!!!! Collapsed 600 Points From Gann Time and Elliot Price Zone

Dear All,
                                       On 21 July Told that we are entering Time & Price Zone and Min Condition for time and price has been meet , Kindly read http://www.abhaymehrotra.com/2015/07/bank-nifty-neo-wave-analysis-time-price.html


                                                       Below is the charts we posted on That day



Min Time & Price Condidtion Meet Told in Last update 


What Happned , Bank Nifty From High of 19229 Hit 18613.5 




This update is for Education Purpose Only 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 



Nifty Neo Wave Analysis : Time & Price Analysis Bang On , Reversed Exactly on 23 July Gann Time Zone and From Elliot Price Levels, Collapsed 160 points From Gann Time Zone

Dear All,
                           
                                                 Told  on 17 July that We are entering Time & Price Zone kindly                                                                               read http://www.abhaymehrotra.com/2015/07/nifty-time-price-analysis.html


                                                               Below is the charts we Posted On that day



What Happned Next  , Nifty Made High on 23 July On Gann Time zone 

Hit 8654 , very Close To elliot Price levels

And from 8654 to 8489.40 Today 

Collapsed 160 Points 




This update is Striclty For Educational Purpose Only 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 


Copper Neo Wave Analysis : Make Or Break !!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                                             
                                                          Copper is very close  to  Imp Monthly support



As per Neo Wave We might be in Wave C 



Wave B held Exactly at 50% Ret 


Tgt For Wave C down 



Imp : Copper Need to Hold 332 else Wave C will extends 

If Hold 332 Can see a good Bounce Back 


This update is for educational Purpose Only 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 




Wednesday, July 22, 2015

Copper Neo Wave Analysis : Levels Bang On !!!!!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                                On 15 July given Update in Copper For B wave down kindly read http://www.abhaymehrotra.com/2015/07/copper-neo-wave-analysis-wave-b-started.html

                                                            Below is the chart we posted on That day


How Market Reacted After Our Update 

Exaclty as We were expecting 

Copper Colloapsed From 357 to 344 Now 



This update is Strictly for Educational Purpose Only 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra




Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Silver Neo Wave Analsysis : Where is the Support ???

Dear All,
                                             There was Blood Bath All Around In Silver last week

                                                                                What Next

                                                                           


Price Support Held at Fibbo Cluster 



 Imp : Short Term perspective 33300 Need to Hold 

Medium term perspective 32250 Need to Hold 


Break and close Below these levels will make Silver More weak 

If Held these levels can see Bounce Back 


This update is for educational Purpose Only 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 


                                  

Bank Nifty Neo Wave Analysis : Time & Price Analysis !!!!!!

Dear All,
                                                    We are entering Time & Price Zone In Bank Nifty

                                                                                Price Analysis 



Min Conditions For Time & Price Done 


Sub Divsions Of Wave B indicating same levels 



Time Analysis 

Two Gann Time Cycles Operative 21--23July , 31 July--5 Aug 



When Time & Price Combines Changes Happens ........W.D. Gann 


This update is Strictly for educational Purpose Only 


M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 








Monday, July 20, 2015

Copper Neo Wave Analysis : Levels Bang On !!!!!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                                  We given upodate in Copper at 357 for C of B going down , kindly read http://www.abhaymehrotra.com/2015/07/copper-neo-wave-analysis-wave-b-started.html


                                                           Below is the chart we posted on that day



What Copper Did From 357 to 349 Hit today


This update is Striclty For Educational Purpose Only 


M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 


Saturday, July 18, 2015

Tata Motors Neo Wave Analysis : Wave B Will Start ?

Dear All,


                                                             We Might start Wave B in Tata Motors



This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 

Friday, July 17, 2015

Gold Neo Wave Analysis : Make Or Break ???

Dear All,
                                                   Gold some how holding levels as posted in last update
 

                                                      Now We are at make or break situation for Gold

                                                                         

Price Support 




If  Gold Break Time & Price Combination then 



This update is For Educational Purpose Only 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 





Nifty Time & Price Analysis !!!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                                                        We are entering Time & Price Zone In Nifty

                                                                              Price Analysis



When Last time ,  time & price combine Nifty collpsed 240 Points 

Now We are Again In Same Time & Price Combinations


Wave B Tgt Giving Price Conflunece at 8680---8800 levels




Minor Sub divsions also giving same levels 




Time Analysis 

Gann Time Minor cyle zone is between 20 July --23 July (+-3days ),

 Major GannTime Cycles Zone is between 20 July --1 Aug(+-3 days )


When Time & Price Combines Changes Happens ......W.D. Gann


This update is Strictly for Education Purpose 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 








Thursday, July 16, 2015

Euro -Inr Neo Wave Analysis : Wave C Will Starts If ????

Dear All,
                                                                        We might start Wave C


For Quality  Updates Join Us 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra


Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Copper Neo Wave Analysis : Wave B Started ???

Dear All,
                                                     

                                                                     We might started Wave B in Copper


This Updates is Strictly For Educational Purpose 


M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra

Lead Neo Wave Analysis : B Wave Zoomed up 5% From 113 to 119 After Our Update !!!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                                  We given  update on 9 July that we might start B wave kindly read http://www.abhaymehrotra.com/2015/07/lead-neo-wave-analysis-wave-b-started.html

                                                        Below is the chart we posted on that day


What Happended After Our Update 

Lead Zoomed Up From 113 to 119 so far


This Update is Strictly for Educational Purpose 

Join Us For Quality Trade Idea's

M :9873511276 




The Art Of Trading Without Trading !!!!!!!!!!!!

Dear All,


                                   I start with Quote from One of the Best Trader of All time Jesse Live more

" After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and lossing millions of dollors I want to tell you this : It never my thinking that made big money for me . It always my sitting . Got that ? My sitting tight ! It no trick at all to be right on markt " .............Jeese livemore

Here Jesse reffreing to sitting tight for trade that is according to you trade plan . You need to wait , wait and wait till right setup comes in market as per you trade plan .


   The Biggest Edge the retail trader has , is not to trade .........surprised , let me explain , most of strong                        hands like Fii , Dii need to be have positions in market every time ......regardless of market conditions .
                 
    We as retail traders has got this "Bid Advantage" Not to trade when our trading plan don't permit us You can't control market prices , only thing that you can control is to put your money on trades when and only when your trading plan gives you desired contions to go for trade ,like risk reward ratio to do so .


But we are not aware of this advtantage or should i say never think of it .......just give a thought , in whole trading  process what is under your control ......"your entry price "  is the only thing that you can control .........if you use limit price order ........in market price order even that is also not sure at which price you get filled for trade , then why you jump on trades without giving a thought that if you are not getting desired entry price and you have not put a trade is your advantage .....by not trading you are using it as your advantage.

The problem with most of traders is that they want profit on every trade , want to trade every swing of market  and ultimately take losses in market .

Intra day Trader - Only concentrate on 2-3 trades max in a day , if you cant find a single trade as per your trading plan ......dnt worry you just have use your biggest advantage in your favour

Swing Trader -Only concentrate on 2-3 trades max in a Week , if you cant find a single trade as per your trading plan ......dnt worry you just have use your biggest advantage in your favour

Positonal Trader - Only concentrate on 2-3 trades max in a Month , if you cant find a single trade as per your trading plan ......dnt worry you just have use your biggest advantage in your favour

Dnt Trade Market , Trade according to your Trading Plan.


Next time you want to take a trade, think 1000 times why your taking that trade .........as you will be using the only and the only biggest advantage you have as a trader by simply not trading   .


Hope you have find this article useful

M : 9873511276

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra


Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Why Trader's Loose Money !!!!!!!

Dear All,

Almost 95% of traders loose money in Market.

Reason are plenty ..........but we discuss few of them

If have answers to following question then only you making succesfully else you are loosing money .

As a Trader have  you ever plan your trades or Have gone through these question before taking Trades

1.Why Trading ......... Have you ever asked yourself why you want to trade ??

2. Your Style of Trading .... Positional / Swing / Intra day ??

3.What's your Edge in Trading ???

4.How much time you devote In studying Markets ??

5.Have you define which markets will you trade ???

6.On what basis you decide to enter into a trade ???

7.Exit criteria ??

8. Money Management rules ??

9. Position sizing ???

10. Are you having a Written Trading Plan ??

Trading is Business nothing else .............if your expenses are high (losses) then you will not earn profit in a business ......same apply to Trading also

Most people thing that only way of making money in trading is to have 10 out 10 or 10 out of 8 trades to be successful ............it is absolutely wrong

let me give you example ..

let say i put 10 trades with 40% accuracy

Winning trades 4 with an average profit of 6 rupees per trade ---4*6=24

Loosing trades 6 with average loss of 1 ruppes each 6*1=6

Profit in 4 trades =24

loss in 6 trades = 6

Net Profit =18 rupees


so see even if your accuracy rate is only 40% you still make good money ......so if any body claiming 90% and 99% accuracy he is fooling you this is blunt truth that most people dont understand

If you follow this mantra only you will make money " cut your loss fast and let your profit run"

very easy to say but very difficult to follow .

Most Advisory people claim 90%---99% accuracy ...........use your common sense if any body has this kind of winning ratio he will become multi millionare in very short time and why he will sell his advice .

"Trading is all about Probablities never certainity "

People sell magic software , claims giving operators tips ............and catch greed of innocent traders

"Consistent money always comes from hard work "


Hope you find this post useful !!!!!

Thanks & Regards
Abhay Mehrotra

Free Technical Analysis Course !!!!!!!

Dear All,
                                             

                                       In Order to Educate Retail Trader's & Investor Presenting 

                                                         Free Technical Analysis Course 
                                                                


                                                 Course Will Cover Following Topic in Details

                                                             1. What is Technical Analysis

                                                              2. Dow Theory

                                                               3.. Candelsticks Charts

                                                               4. Classical Charts Patterns

                                                               5.. Major Indicator & Oscillators

                                                               6. Trading Stratgies


                                                                 Duration : One Day

                               Fees : What ever  You Feel Like to Give After The session


                                                              Rush To Book Your Seat

                                                                      M :9873511276

                                                                    Thanks & Regards

                                                                       Abhay Mehrotra



Monday, July 13, 2015

Lead Neo Wave Analysis : Levels Bang On Target !!!!!!!!

Dear All,
                          On 9 July Given Update on Lead  kindly read  http://www.abhaymehrotra.com/2015/07/lead-neo-wave-analysis-wave-b-started.html

                                                                 Below is the chart posted on that day




How Market Reacted Zoomed up from 113 to 117.45 



B wave still not finished 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra



Quotes from Diary of a Professional Commodity Trader By Peter Brandt !!!!!

Dear All,
                                                                  Must Read for All Trader's 

p14. “Consistently successful trading is founded on solid risk management.”

p14. “Successful trading is a process of doing certain things over and over again with discipline and patience.”

p31. “As many as 80% of my trades over shorter periods of time will be unprofitable. The probability of my very next trade being profitable is less than 30%.” (Looking for 90% accuracy see how one of the best trader of the world trade with only 40%--30% Accuracy )

p34. “More often than not, a market will defy what its chart structure implies” [but Peter remains a dedicated, profitable and long term chartist].

p38. “Boundary lines [i.e. trend lines] do not need to be redrawn to accommodate [intraday single-event] out of line movement.”

p41. “My experience is that there are far more false or premature breakouts of slanted chart lines than in the case of horizontal boundaries.” p129. “Normally I do not trade trend-line violations. Trend lines fall into a category of chart development I called diagonal patterns. Yet, the more a market tests a trend line, the more valid-and tradeable-an eventual violation becomes.”

p41. “[After a pattern break out] I generally abandon any position that has a significant return to the pattern.”

p43. “I believe that my net bottom line as a trader would have improved if I had exited every trade that closed at a daily loss.”

 p142. “My net bottom line over the years would have improved if I had exited all trades that closed against me.”

p47. “As a general rule, the minimum move following the completion of a chart pattern should be equal to the height of the pattern itself, although the exceptions to this rule are numerous and complex.”

p53. “As a general rule, I will attempt one pattern recompletion per major pattern. After that, I will count my losses and go shopping elsewhere.”

p60. “Trades that are the emotionally toughest to execute are often the most financially rewarding.” 

p128. “Trades that are emotionally easy to execute are often trades consistent with the conventional wisdom of the marketplace. Conventional wisdom is usually wrong.”

p74. “While chartists often attempt to jump the gun on a pattern, markets usually make it abundantly clear when it is time to climb aboard.”

p80. “It is important for a trader to use similar time frames to both enter and manage a trade.”

p88. “The more I follow the markets during the trading hours, the more apt I am to make an
emotionally driven decision to override my trading plan...emotional reactions to intraday trading will be detrimental to my net bottom line over any period of time.”

p102. “The biggest temptation after a premature stop-out is to get right back in before receiving another solid signal. Getting into this cycle throws discipline and patience right out of the window.”

p117. “I cannot allow myself to be stressed out whether a certain trade was profitable or not. Profit cannot be the direct focus of my attention because I have no control over the outcome of any given trade. Order entry is the only thing I can control. My challenge is to maintain the patience to wait for t my pitch and the discipline to swing when my pitch is offered. Swinging at pitches outside of my sweet spot is the single biggest source of trouble for me.”


January 2012
p117. “I am constantly studying and analyzing my trading performance for two major reasons: to determine if my trading plan is in sync with the markets and to determine if I am in sync with my trading plan. ...either can represent a real problem.” (Most trader's dont even have written trading plan ..........i ask you one question do you have written trading plan ??? I guess you dont have !!!!!)

p119. “Every successful trader I know has developed a criteria for appraising trading performance.”

p152. “Breakouts should be decisive in order to be valid. Drawing tight pattern boundary lines is an invitation to get sucked into a false or premature breakout.”

p154. “As a trader, I need to constantly remind myself that I cannot afford the luxury of being bullish or bearish. Bullishness and Bearishness represent an emotional commitment. I need to limit myself to positions. Opinions don't matter.”

p156. “Trade identification is the least important of all trading components. The trading process itself and risk management are much more crucial components to overall success in trading operations.”

p157. “The most profitable trades are those that breakout and never look back.” p165. “If at first you don’t succeed, be ready to lose and lose again.”

p160. “Trading dilemmas never end. A trader never solves all the issues standing in the way of greater success.”

p166. “The best and largest patterns are commonly comprised of many smaller patterns, mostly failures.”

p173. “The battle to profitability is with one’s self. Successful trading is learning what to do and how to do it and then overcoming one’s emotions to get “it” done (discovering the “it” is the challenge for traders, and the “it” is different for everyone).”

p189. “[Trading plan] flaws are never visible during the good months and good years. Good times provide cover for the deficiencies of a trading plan.”

p194. “Triangles are not valid when prices work too far [more than 2/3rds to 3/4ths] to the apex.”

p197. “The single most important price of the day is the closing price, posted mid-afternoon each day. This is the price at which position traders, as opposed to day traders, are willing to hold a position overnight. Even though I often enter and exit a position intraday, the closing price is the only one that really matters. Everything else is noise.

p229. “Make a chart prove itself. Do not lead a breakout.”

p230. “Do not chase a missed signal. There will be trading opportunities next week, next month, and next year. Chasing signals can lead to other serious breaches of trading practices.”


Thanks & Regards
Abhay Mehrotra

Natural Gas Neo Wave Analysis: Wave 3 or Wave C To Start ????

Dear All,
                                                                  We Might start Wave 3 or Wave C





This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose 

More Updates to Our Group Members 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra 

Sunday, July 12, 2015

Crude Oil Neo Wave Analysis : Time and Price Bang On ,Crude Holding levels as per Gann Time & Neo Wave Price What Next ???

Dear All,
                              On July 6 given update we are entering time & price zone kindly read
http://www.abhaymehrotra.com/2015/07/crude-oil-neo-wave-analysis-time-price.html

                                                         Below is the chart we posted on that day


Crude Holding Time & Price Symmtery as of now 



Untill crude dnt given close below 3300 for two days time and price will favour , can

lead to 3533--3600++ levels 

But if close below 3300 for two days it will break time & price symmtery 

can then create panic in crude to 2800--2700 levels 


This Update is Strictly For Educational Purpose 

More Updates to Our Group Members 

M :9873511276 

Thanks & Regards

Abhay Mehrotra